The SYPCC By-Election Results Analysis is starting in earnest. Thanks to all of you who responded so quickly in providing the Barnsley and Sheffield results.
The ‘Rotherham effect’ would seem to have some validity. The surprise in these results? This ‘effect’ has spread to Barnsley and Doncaster! Ed Miliband is thought to be in some difficulties of his own. Will the voters of Doncaster North chuck him out next May? It is certainly on the cards, with the anti-Labour vote, increasingly concentrating around UKIP.
Problems ahead then for Labour, most certainly, and with their inaction in Rotherham, this effect will only get more pronounced.
| South Yorkshire PCC By-Election 2014 | ||||
| Overall Result | ||||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % Vote Share | Change % |
| English Democrats | Allen, David | 8583 | 5.5 | -10 |
| Labour | Billings, Allan | 74060 | 50 | Â -1 |
| UKIP | Clarkson Jack | 46883 | 31.6 | Â 20 |
| Conservative | Walker Ian | 18536 | 12.5 | Â -2 |
| Total Valid Votes | 148062 | |||
| Swing Lab to UKIP | Â 11 | |||
| Barnsley Result | ||||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % Vote Share | Change % |
| English Democrats | Allen, David | 1288 | 6 | -8 |
| Labour | Billings, Allan | 10877 | 50.7 | -5 |
| UKIP | Clarkson Jack | 6607 | 30.8 | 20 |
| Conservative | Walker Ian | 2672 | 12.5 | -1 |
| Total Valid Votes | 21444 | |||
| Swing Lab to UKIP | 14 | |||
| Doncaster Result | ||||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % Vote Share | Change % |
| English Democrats | Allen, David | 2314 | 6.8 | -14 |
| Labour | Billings, Allan | 15310 | 45.4 | -4 |
| UKIP | Clarkson Jack | 11380 | 33.7 | 24 |
| Conservative | Walker Ian | 4730 | 14 | -2 |
| Total Valid Votes | 33734 | |||
| Swing Lab to UKIP | 14 | |||
| Rotherham Result | ||||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % Vote Share | Change % |
| English Democrats | Allen, David | 2044 | 5.6 | -10 |
| Labour | Billings, Allan | 15006 | 40.9 | -9 |
| UKIP | Clarkson Jack | 14228 | 38.8 | 26 |
| Conservative | Walker Ian | 3936 | 11.3 | -3 |
| Total Valid Votes | 34674 | |||
| Swing Lab to UKIP | 18 | |||
| Sheffield Result | ||||
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % Vote Share | Change % |
| English Democrats | Allen, David | 2937 | 5.1 | -8 |
| Labour | Billings, Allan | 32867 | 57 | 6 |
| UKIP | Clarkson Jack | 14666 | 25.4 | 14 |
| Conservative | Walker Ian | 7198 | 12.5 | -2 |
| Total Valid Votes | 57668 | |||
| Swing Lab to UKIP | 4 | |||
Rotherham Politics 
Sheffield
32,867 LAB
14,686 UKIP
7,198 CON
2,937 EDEM
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Wud be intresting to analyse rotherhams results on a ward basis?
food for thought for cllrs especially if alliances are made.
Tusc should be taking most of labours votes as they do not resemble labour and labour policies.
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That information is not available – but you might get it with an FoI
More interesting is the size of the postal vote – and that doesn’t seem to be available either
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Tusc splitting the left vote at times like this would only help UKIP. ,
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According to this in Doncaster postal votes were 3 times the number cast in the polling stations
“Doncaster council chief executive, Jo Miller, said the turnout at the ballot box in the town was only 3.5%, with 11.7% postal votes.”
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-south-yorkshire-29850080
“According to some reports at Friday’s count, 80% of those who voted in the byelection did so via post.”
http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2014/oct/31/why-did-ukip-lose-south-yorkshire-police-crime-commissioner-byelection
That’s obviously a large scale vote rigging operation, the ward by ward info would indeed be very revealing
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SHEFFIELD
Labour – 32,867 votes
Conservative – 7,198
UKIP – 14,666
English Democrats – 2,937
Rejected votes – 1,091
ROTHERHAM
Labour – 15,006
UKIP – 14,228
Conservative – 3,936
English Democrats – 2,044
Rejected – 481
BARNSLEY
Labour – 10,877
UKIP – 6,609
Conservative – 2,672
English Democrats – 1,288
Rejected – 355
DONCASTER
Labour – 15,310
UKIP – 11,380
Conservative – 4,730
English Democrats – 2,314
Rejected votes – 372
(from Sheffield Star – but with the Sheffield Conservative vote corrected from 17,198 to 7,198 – otherwise it doesn’t add up!)
I covered all this in very great detail here :
: https://rotherhampolitics.wordpress.com/2014/10/31/rotherham-pcc-vote-a-good-deal-closer/
in my long boring comment at November 1, 2014 at 12:46 pm 🙂
rr
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I should hat tip UKIP supporter for originally pointing out the error in the Stars reporting.
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The Star also has the Sheffield UKIP incorrect , it should be 14666 not 14686!!!!!!
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Not Star – I had it wrong.
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Over 2000 spoilt papers!
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BARNSLEY
Labour – 10,877
UKIP – 6,609
Conservative – 2,672
English Democrats – 1,288
Rejected – 355
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I think somebody felt sorry for the Conservatives and added an extra 10K on the the vote, I thought it was a little strange they had beat UKIP.
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It was simply a slip of a finger in a reporter’s tweet. But all credit to you for initially bringing it to my attention.:
– see what I wrote here: https://rotherhampolitics.wordpress.com/2014/10/31/rotherham-pcc-vote-a-good-deal-closer/
– and I have emailed the Star to ask them to correct their error, but….
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I had UKIP, Tory, English democrat with 9K more votes, until somebody said that it was a slight advantage to Labour. They had used figures off wiki, while I had used the star. It would have been better if we had received the figures directly from the PCC vote, rather than through third parties.
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Yes – it has been shambolic.
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South Yorkshire Police and Crime Commissioner (Lab Defence)
Result: Labour 74,060 (50% -1%), UKIP 46,883 (32% +20%), Conservative 18,536 (13% -2%), English Democrats 8,583 (6% -10%)
Labour HOLD with a majority of 27,177 (18%) on a swing of 11% from Labour to UKIP
Local Area Results
Barnsley: Lab 51% (-5%), UKIP 31% (+20%), Con 12% (-1%), Eng Dems 6% (-8%). Lab HOLD, 14% swing from Lab to UKIP
Doncaster: Lab 45% (-4%), UKIP 34% (+24%), Con 14% (-2%), Eng Dems 7% (-14%). Lab HOLD, 14% swing from Lab to UKIP
Rotherham: Lab 43% (-9%), UKIP 40% (+26%), Con 11% (-3%), Eng Dems 6% (-10%). Lab HOLD, 18% swing from Lab to UKIP
Sheffield: Lab 57% (+6%), UKIP 25% (+14%), Con 12% (-2%), Eng Dems % (-8%). Lab HOLD, 4% swing to Lab to UKIP
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where did you find those results?
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got it!
http://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2014/11/01/local-by-election-results-october-30th-2014/
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That’s the one
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What difference to the Labour vote if there had been a LibDem candidate standing?
it is going to be interesting May 2015 elections.
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UKIP are not the only issue for Labour.
If this morning’s Andrew Marr show on the BBC is anything to measure the anti-labour stance taken by the BBC then Labour are in for a tough time from the BBC on the run up to the GE.
Talk about one sided politics it was dire, Marr must be in the pocket of Crosby and the Tory party, last week had lots of adverse Tory/Cameron stories he could have used, like number 10 backing Fiona Wolfe minutes before the news of her standing down.
It was all anti Milliband, the problems in Scotland, the beggar in the street, the T shirt and his rating in the polls, it looked more like a party political broadcast on behalf of the conservatives than a balanced news programme.
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It is what you get when the Editor of the Sun on Sunday is reviewing the press.
But yes that whole tee-shirt thing is deeply embarrassing and Milliband is becoming a liability for Labour. – a nice guy, but…
But UKIP is not an issue for anybody , except maybe the English Democrats and the Tories.
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Edward Millibrand is not the issue here, it’s Labour disconnect with it’s core voter’s. This has been happening, since Blair and his lying cronies took over. More interested in what’s in it for them, than their supporters.
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Manc is correct when he says Blair’ s lot were only interested in themselves : but it’s more than that. It now appears that the general public are waking up to the fact that local councillors in places like Labour controlled Rotherham are no more socialist than Guy Fawkes. It’s an easy ticket to ride ; ask no questions…..just do as you’re told …..attend a few meetings and collect the pay. Long live the other options – even though Ukip have a lot to learn!
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Ask yourself a question, what policies has the Labour Party proposed for the working people recently, even the Tories are offering to increase the Tax allowance threshold to allow people to keep more of their income. labour as usual is proposing some grandiose spending sprees, which will benefit a few of their soft friends, at the expense of the majority. And you know it will be a waste of money. sure start, it system, I’d cards, Billions wasted.
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If 80% were postal votes and if 5% to 10% were fraudlent UKIP could have been cheated out of victory. Could they have won on second preference votes ?
It is essential that we have honest elections in the Uk and this means no postal votes and ID at polling stations.
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