This week some information of a statistical nature, was given to the local press, Star and Advertiser, who swallowed the spin, hook line and sinker.
Chris Burn of the Star, has admitted to me, he has not been able to find or read the report cited as Appendix A in the report published as:
whose facts have been quoted in his article in the Star, see:
I have little doubt the Advertiser has not seen the appendix either, before dutifully publishing their piece, not unfortunately available online as yet.
Although the evidence is not yet complete, the current interpretation of this information is factually inadequate and just plain wrong.
The facts are these:
Population breakdown for Rotherham borough, 90% white, 3% Kashmiri/Pakistani
from the latest available information, download here.
Figures quoted by the Rotherham Safeguarding Children’s Board, 68% white, 24% Kashmiri/Pakistani. For some reason this report is no longer available, coincidence?
In order to correctly interpret prevalence figures such as these, it is vital to understanding to compare the two to see if there are anomalies.
The calculations are very simple, you divide the observed proportion in the study, by the population proportion to see whether there are results out of line indicating problems, if everything is in proportion, the result will be 1 in each case.
For the white category therefore, the calculation is 68/90 which equals 0.75. In simple terms people classified as white, are under represented in the statistics by one quarter.
In the case of those classified as Kashmiri/Pakistani, the calculation is 24/3 which equals 8. This can only indicate that those in the Kashmiri/Pakistani are over represented by a factor of 8 times!
8 times the expected prevalence is an extraordinarily high figure, which is the fact that should have made the headlines not the one used, as even that interpretation was wrong, as can be seen above.
There will be those who will still not understand the plain facts of the situation or deliberately try and put an incorrect spin on this information but the facts speak for themselves, they do not lie.
Which ever way you cut it, Rotherham still has a very significant problem with child sexual exploitation, carried out by Kashmiri/Pakistani men. A problem that must be recognised by all, in order to take the steps necessary to eradicate the grooming gangs that still operate in our town.