Labour support at ballot box could be halved at Oldham by-election, polling suggests

Labour support at ballot box could be halved at Oldham by-election, polling suggests

Senior figures, including a shadow cabinet minister, have expressed alarm at the prospects for Labour in the upcoming by-election

Labour support at the ballot box could be halved in the first electoral test for Jeremy Corbyn since becoming leader, private polling by the party has suggested.

Senior figures, including a shadow cabinet minister, have expressed alarm at the prospects for Labour in the upcoming Oldham by-election, with Mr Corbyn seen as a problem on the doorstep with voters, as the crisis over his leadership deepens.

In door-to-door canvassing in the constituency ahead of May’s general election, local party workers are understood to have found 32 per cent of voters were supporting Labour.

Read on… http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/labour/12009844/Labour-support-at-ballot-box-could-be-halved-at-Oldham-by-election-polling-suggests.html

Five reasons why Oldham is not necessarily in the bag for Labour

The forthcoming by-election in Oldham West and Royton is the first significant test at the ballot box of this parliament. To be sure, Labour starts as strong favourite – it has won the seat and its predecessors at every general election since the war, most recently with 55 per cent of the vote and an increased majority of almost 15,000. Ukip, which finished second in May, will be disadvantaged by the constituency’s ethnic diversity.

Read on… http://www.thetimes.co.uk/redbox/topic/latest-polling/five-reasons-why-oldham-is-not-necessarily-in-the-bag-for-labour

How worried should Labour be about the Oldham West and Royton by-election?

Labour’s Ukip problem – which cost the party seats under Ed Miliband – shows no sign of going away.

Read on… http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2015/10/how-worried-should-labour-be-about-oldham-west-and-royton-election

14 thoughts on “Labour support at ballot box could be halved at Oldham by-election, polling suggests

  1. Just one opinion – The inexorable downward spiral of nulabor into inevitable oblivion was cast in stone over a decade ago, when it became clear that nulabor was a massive scam. We have heard that the demise of nulabor was down to Brown, then Milliband, and now Corbyn. Perhaps if the genuine Labour Party members respected democracy and supported their elected leader the tide could be at least stemmed until the damage caused by nulabor is repaired. Here are a few examples: the IRAQ war, student fees, ATOS and ESA, bedroom tax, widening rich/poor and wellbeing gaps. the UK finance crash ( despite being predicted by Brown ) , housing stock transfer, failure of EU Objective 1 ( see latest IMD ), decimation of VolCom sector, public nulabor rebellion, etc – the list goes on. NO – the current slide is NOT down to Corbyn, but to those who betrayed the trust of those who placed their trust in nulabor at the ballot box. Discuss

    Like

  2. Yup
    Volcom Sector = Voluntary Community organisations ?
    “failure of EU Objective 1 ( see latest IMD )” ??? I know what EU Objective 1 is, but “IMD” ?..
    “bedroom tax” ? Which one? The only one I know of was introduced in April 2013.

    If you can re-write your comment in something approaching Plain English (and after checking your facts) , I might be able to write a comment on it.
    Or maybe you just did a ctl-C /ctl-V on something you read somewhere, in which case give the linkie.

    .

    Like

  3. Yup, wouldn’t it have been simpler to just write something like
    ” ‘Latest IMD’ – see:
    “https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/465791/English_Indices_of_Deprivation_2015_-_Statistical_Release.pdf” .
    ____________
    But let’s move on:
    You write ” the UK finance crash ( despite being predicted by Brown ) ,”
    Whilst I have in the past defended Brown’s response to what you are calling “the UK financial crash” , I have seen nothing to suggest he predicted it,
    As the recent report into the failure of HBOS makes clear the problems first appeared in the US in 2006, … and yet in UK there was little if and awareness of the coming impact on UK.
    (see section 2.2.3 The onset of the financial crisis, in
    http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/pra/Documents/publications/reports/hbos.pdf
    (particularly note the reference to the BofE Inflation Report of Feb 2008. )

    Like

  4. His book Debunking Economics really just debunks some economics not all. His critiques are well argued and most are acceptable to me. A good read if, like me you like economics texts.
    We doo need to have a root and branch reform of banking but that will only happen as a response to the next crisis. (There is always a next crisis). I did not vote Labour in 1997 when I read in their manifesto they promised to end economic cycles of boom bust. As these cycles had been going for at least 800 years I thought they were plain silly.
    All this aside I suspect Labour will do well in Oldham. What does the corporate media know. They may be on an upturn in a political cycle!

    Like

    • Well now;
      I’m a long retired monetary economist (with maths and stats in both my BSc and MSc) … and with many years of Central Bank experience. I try not to discuss the subject.

      Ask me to look at some numbers and I will, but … it’s the numbers that are not being recorded that always cause the problems. As far as i can see no-one was recording the growth of the CDS (credit default swap) market until it was far to late.
      _____________________
      I really hope the excellent Labour candidate succeeds in the Oldham by-election. He is an excellent candidate (I come from Heywood – just west of Oldham).

      Like

Leave your comment

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.